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IMPACT OF EXPORT VARIATIONS ON APPALACHIAN COAL


A leader in energy modeling and forecasting, Greenmont Energy Consulting, is pleased to announce the publication of its latest market research study.

Impact of Varying Global Export Levels on Appalachian Coal Prices, Production & Plant Coal Burn Choices

Strong global demand over the last year has caused most coal prices to reach highly inflated levels. This change in dynamics has made Central and Northern Appalachian coals widely unavailable for domestic use to the benefit of the more lucrative export markets. Clearly, this has caused somewhat of a domestic coal procurement imbalance for utilities wanting to secure reliable coal deliveries for the future, especially with a number of contracts expiring or having already expired.

Going forward, there is uncertainty as to how much longer the likes of China and India can keep their current levels of coal consumption. An eventual demand slowdown seems unavoidable; the question is how quickly it is going to happen.

In this analysis, we forecast the impact of various levels of global demand on U.S. coal production and prices as well as the resulting coal choice shifting at the unit level. This report is based on comparing the following three scenarios:

-Sharp Decline Scenario: Slowdown occurs rapidly and as early as 2009 with sharp decreases in metallurgical and steam coal exports from the U.S.

-Soft Landing Scenario: Slowdown occurs in the form of a soft landing with export levels easing back into "normal" levels over a few years.

-Sustained High Coal Exports Scenario: the current trend of high global demand and prices continues.

The analysis includes tabulated and graphical coal by coal production and price annual forecasts to 2015 for 25 different Appalachian coal types.

Greenmont Energy market research quality is a notch above its competitors as it is backed by proprietary unit level forecasting models and an average of 20-years energy and modeling related experience among company management and analysts. Additionally, you will notice that our competitors will blindly sell you market research with limited or no access to questions or clarifications (what you buy is what you get). At Greenmont Energy, we encourage you to call us with follow-up questions or additional discussions pertaining to any market research purchased from us. With our forecasting and granular modeling tackling today's most challenging energy topics, our goal is to provide you with the most value-added product on the market.

This report is priced at $3900 and is available for purchase at www.greenmontenergy.com. For any questions regarding this report or any of our products and services, please feel free to contact us at:

Phone: (304) 422-5052

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